Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.668598 7.312133 8.007864 8.818856 9.741927 10.764196 11.987943
2026-02-01 5.712366 6.554171 7.521320 8.724705 10.195959 11.954658 14.244310
2026-02-08 5.101580 6.031338 7.143905 8.591705 10.453554 12.806544 16.070242
2026-02-15 4.633323 5.605652 6.806588 8.425955 10.595448 13.466694 17.670149
2026-02-22 4.310889 5.319929 6.600816 8.382827 10.859260 14.277686 19.541406
2026-03-01 3.957797 4.960437 6.260932 8.115886 10.771234 14.565986 20.662881
2026-03-08 3.615458 4.587923 5.871354 7.739464 10.479716 14.510920 21.226184
2026-03-15 3.399243 4.368256 5.669983 7.604744 10.515895 14.931616 22.578945
2026-03-22 3.443282 4.503364 5.963282 8.198562 11.687433 17.222145 27.382047
2026-03-29 3.353726 4.444193 5.974257 8.370407 12.217566 18.539314 30.700204
2026-04-05 3.172660 4.243546 5.766237 8.189812 12.161676 18.859652 32.204738
2026-04-12 3.087826 4.176297 5.748899 8.301549 12.591318 20.061477 35.619481
2026-04-19 2.935592 4.006788 5.574903 8.162095 12.602427 20.548662 37.745481
2026-04-26 2.806549 3.865350 5.435658 8.069018 12.685616 21.180740 40.313478
2026-05-03 2.682076 3.724076 5.287801 7.949349 12.707422 21.692920 42.709201
2026-05-10 2.560543 3.581247 5.129299 7.799704 12.659217 22.057809 44.830631
2026-05-17 2.472542 3.485597 5.039875 7.760756 12.810520 22.841407 48.143888
2026-05-24 2.347540 3.327036 4.841581 7.519532 12.556995 22.749832 49.196975
2026-05-31 2.209741 3.143323 4.594711 7.178944 12.086233 22.145914 48.778869
2026-06-07 2.124977 3.040059 4.474677 7.056923 12.033424 22.446718 50.916344
2026-06-14 2.174331 3.151349 4.712727 7.594270 13.341945 25.967372 63.280272
2026-06-21 2.147729 3.138753 4.742137 7.749538 13.885251 27.807495 71.217751
2026-06-28 2.065508 3.032215 4.606764 7.586361 13.741461 27.962447 73.673766